• September 26, 2025

2020 US Presidential Election Popular Vote: Comprehensive Analysis, Results Breakdown & Key Takeaways

Let's talk about that wild 2020 election. I remember sitting up all night watching the numbers come in, coffee going cold, refreshing my browser every five minutes. That feeling when states flipped colors... man. Today we're digging deep into what actually happened with the 2020 presidential election popular vote - not just the surface numbers, but the stories behind them.

You're probably wondering: Who really won the popular vote? How big was the margin? Why does it matter when we have the Electoral College? We'll cover all that and more. I'll even throw in some stuff I witnessed firsthand working at a polling center in Philadelphia that year. Mail-in ballots stacked to the ceiling, poll workers squinting at signatures... what a time.

Popular Vote vs Electoral College: Why Both Matter

First things first. People get confused between popular vote and electoral votes. Think of it like this: The popular vote is raw democracy - one person, one vote. The Electoral College? That's our constitutional filter. Each state gets electors based on population, and winner-takes-all in most places.

Here’s what drives me nuts: You can win the popular vote nationally but lose the election. Happened to Gore in 2000, Hillary in 2016, and almost happened again in 2020. Makes you wonder if the system needs updating.

Metric Popular Vote Electoral College
What it measures Total votes nationwide State-based electors
Determines Public mandate Actual winner
Key quirk California's 11M votes = Wyoming's 300K votes Wyoming gets 3 electoral votes (1 per 193K people)
2020 margin Biden +4.5% Biden 306-232

Now looking at the 2020 presidential election results popular vote, that gap tells us something important. Biden didn't just squeak by - he had solid nationwide support. But the Electoral College made it feel closer than it was.

Raw Numbers That Tell the Story

Getting into the weeds now. These aren't just abstract figures - each number represents real people lining up in rainstorms, mailing ballots from overseas, arguing with relatives at Thanksgiving dinner...

Total Popular Votes

159,690,889 ballots cast
(Highest in US history)

Biden's Count

81,283,098 votes
(51.3% nationwide)

Trump's Count

74,222,958 votes
(46.9% nationwide)

That 7 million vote difference? Historic. Bigger than Obama's 2008 margin. But here's what news channels didn't show enough:

Third Party Votes Percentage
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 1,865,724 1.2%
Howie Hawkins (Green) 405,035 0.3%
Other candidates 1,913,074 1.2%

Those third-party votes actually mattered this time. In Arizona, Jorgensen got 50K votes - almost double Biden's margin of victory there.

State-by-State Breakdown: Where Votes Came From

National numbers are fine, but elections are decided state by state. Let's examine key battlegrounds that shaped the 2020 election popular vote outcome.

I drove through Pennsylvania and Michigan that October. Biden signs everywhere in Philly suburbs, Trump flags flying thick in rural areas. You could feel the divide.

Critical State Biden Votes Trump Votes Margin Key Factor
Pennsylvania 3,459,923 3,378,263 Biden +81,660 Mail ballots broke records
Michigan 2,804,040 2,649,852 Biden +154,188 Detroit turnout surged
Wisconsin 1,630,866 1,610,184 Biden +20,682 Milwaukee margins critical
Arizona 1,672,143 1,661,686 Biden +10,457 Maricopa County decided it

The California Effect

Can we talk about California? 11 million votes cast there alone. Biden won by 5 million votes in that single state - that's nearly 70% of his entire national popular vote margin. Wild, right?

But here's the flip side: Trump dominated rural America. In Wyoming, he got 70% of votes. Problem is, Wyoming's population is smaller than Sacramento. That's why the popular vote results get skewed.

What Drove the Results: Turnout and Voting Methods

COVID changed everything. I saw seniors in face shields dropping ballots into secure boxes. College kids mailing votes from dorm rooms. Unprecedented stuff.

Voting Method % of Total Votes Biden Support Trump Support
Mail Ballots 46% 65% 33%
Early In-Person 24% 58% 40%
Election Day 30% 41% 57%

See why results took days? Those mail ballots flooded in late. And honestly, watching poll workers verify signatures... brutal work. I did it for 14 hours straight.

Demographic Shifts That Mattered

Forget the "blue wave" narrative. The real story was subtler:

  • Suburban women: Shifted 8% toward Biden vs 2016 (CNN exit polls)
  • Latino voters: Trump gained ground in South Florida - Cuban Americans rewarded his Cuba stance
  • White working class: Still overwhelmingly Trump, but Midwest margins narrowed
  • Black voters: 87% for Biden, but turnout dipped slightly in urban cores

Controversies and Myths Debunked

Okay, let's address the elephant in the room. Claims about voter fraud exploded after the 2020 presidential election results. Having been in the trenches, here's what I saw:

Were there isolated issues? Sure. A few double-voters got caught in Nevada. Some dead people remained on rolls (always happens). But systematic fraud changing outcomes? Every investigation proved that false.

Top 3 myths I want to kill right now:

  1. "Dead people voted": States regularly purge voter rolls. The handful found? Usually clerical errors
  2. "Midnight ballot dumps": Just mail ballots being counted late - perfectly normal
  3. : Multiple recounts using paper trails confirmed results

The Legal Battles Explained

Over 60 lawsuits filed. Zero succeeded at changing results. Why?

  • No evidence met courtroom standards
  • Many claims were hearsay on social media
  • Judges (including Trump appointees) demanded proof that never came

Historical Context: How 2020 Compares

Let's step back. How unusual was this popular vote margin? Put it this way:

Election Year Popular Vote Winner Margin (millions)
2020 Biden +7.06
2016 Clinton +2.87
2012 Obama +5.00
2008 Obama +9.55

Biden's margin was substantial but not record-breaking. What made it feel seismic was polarization. The "middle" vanished - 93% of counties voted more lopsidedly than in 2016 (Pew Research).

Third-Party Collapse

Notice something? Third-party voters dropped from 6% in 2016 to under 2% in 2020. Why? Fear of "wasting votes" in high-stakes race. Green Party got crushed after 2016 spoiler accusations.

The Future Implications

That massive popular vote total - 159 million votes? That's 66% turnout, highest since 1900. Pandemic voting reforms made participation easier. Now states are scrambling:

  • Republican-led states (Georgia, Texas): Restricting mail voting and drop boxes
  • Democratic states (California, New York): Making mail voting permanent

Here's my take: America's voting systems got stress-tested like never before. Some reforms worked great (online ballot tracking). Some failed (understaffed polling places). We need bipartisan fixes, not partisan power grabs.

Your Top Questions Answered

Did Biden win the popular vote by the largest margin ever?

No, not even close. His 4.5% margin ranks 28th out of 59 presidential elections. Lyndon Johnson won by 22% in 1964. Biden's vote count was highest ever due to population growth.

Why did Trump get more votes than in 2016 but still lose?

Trump gained 11 million votes! But Biden gained 15 million. Turnout exploded on both sides - Democrats just turned out more new voters, especially in suburbs.

How many mail ballots were rejected in 2020?

About 1% nationwide (higher than in-person rejection rates). Signature mismatches caused most rejections. Court battles extended cure periods letting voters fix errors.

Could the popular vote ever decide elections?

Constitutionally, no. But the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact could bypass Electoral College if states with 270+ electoral votes join. Currently at 205 electoral votes committed.

Which states have certified their popular vote totals?

All 50 states certified results by December 14 deadline despite controversies. Recounts in Wisconsin and Georgia confirmed initial counts.

Final thought? When people ask about the 2020 presidential election popular vote, they're really asking about American identity. That record turnout showed engagement, even amid chaos. Numbers tell one story - but the millions lining up in pandemic conditions? That's the real legacy.

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