• November 7, 2025

Trump Tariffs Explained: Real Strategy Behind the Trade War

So you're wondering why is Trump doing tariffs? Honestly, it's not just you. I've had this debate with my cousin who runs a bike parts import business – he nearly lost his mind when the steel tariffs hit. Let's cut through the political noise and look at what's really happening.

Trump's Major Tariff Actions: The Quick List

Before we dig into motives, here's what actually went down:

Product Date Rate Main Targets
Steel March 2018 25% China, EU, Japan
Aluminum March 2018 10% Global
Chinese Goods July 2018 Up to 25% $34B worth of imports
Washing Machines Jan 2018 20-50% South Korea, China

The Official Reasons Explained

When asked publicly why is Trump doing tariffs, he gives three main arguments. Let's break each one down.

Protecting American Jobs

"We're bringing back manufacturing!" That was the rally cry. And sure, some jobs returned. A Whirlpool factory in Ohio hired 200 more workers after washing machine tariffs hit. But here's what they don't tell you: For every steel job created? Five jobs were lost in industries using expensive steel. My buddy Dan at his auto parts shop saw material costs jump 15% overnight. He froze hiring.

Key industries impacted:

  • Auto manufacturing (Ford estimated $1B in losses)
  • Construction (steel beams cost 40% more)
  • Craft beer (aluminum can shortages)

Fixing Trade Deficits

Trump hates trade deficits. Like really hates them. The U.S.-China deficit was $375B in 2017 – his main target. But did tariffs fix it? Let's look at the data:

Year U.S.-China Trade Deficit Notes
2016 $347B Pre-Trump
2019 $345B After tariffs

See what happened? Deficits barely budged. Companies just shifted imports to Vietnam or Mexico. Sneaky, right?

Stopping "Unfair" Practices

This one actually has teeth. China's forced tech transfers and IP theft are real problems. Remember when American solar companies got wiped out by dumped Chinese panels? I met a factory owner in Tennessee who laid off 80% of his staff because of it. So why is Trump doing tariffs here? As leverage. Simple as that.

The Unspoken Reasons

Okay, let's talk about what they're not saying out loud.

Playing Negotiation Poker

Trump loves deals. Tariffs were his chips. Look at the USMCA deal replacing NAFTA:

  • Threat: Auto tariffs on Canada/Mexico
  • Concession: Higher North American content rules
  • Result: Trump claimed victory

Was it perfect? Nah. My Canadian friend Pierre (runs a dairy farm) still hates it. But it worked as theater.

Rallying the Base

In Ohio and Pennsylvania? Tariffs played well. Factories closing had left towns gutted. Promising action mattered more than results. At a 2018 rally I attended, people cheered when he mentioned steel tariffs. They felt heard.

But here's the uncomfortable truth: Many of those jobs weren't coming back. Automation ate more manufacturing jobs than trade ever did.

Testing Economic Theories

Some advisors actually believed in "tariff magic." Peter Navarro (Trump's trade guy) wrote books about it. Their theory? Tariffs would force reshoring. Instead, companies just raised prices. My washing machine cost jumped $120. Thanks, LG.

Who Really Paid for Trump's Tariffs?

Spoiler: It wasn't China.

Check this breakdown of tariff costs:

Group Cost Impact Example
Consumers $57B annually (Tax Foundation) $800/household in 2019
U.S. Exporters $27B in lost sales (Farm Bureau) Soybean farmers lost Chinese market
China Minimal direct payment Shifted exports to other markets

Farmers got hit hardest. Remember the $28B bailout? That was your tax dollars fixing a self-inflicted wound.

Top Questions People Ask About Trump's Tariffs

Let's tackle the real queries from folks like you:

Did tariffs save manufacturing jobs?

Short answer? Barely. The U.S. added about 12,400 steel jobs after tariffs. But manufacturing overall? Flatlined. Automation and efficiency gains mattered more than trade policy.

Why did Trump do tariffs if they hurt consumers?

Two reasons: First, he believed companies would absorb costs (they didn't). Second, political messaging outweighed economic pain for his base.

Could tariffs ever work?

Maybe as surgical strikes. The 1980s tariffs on Japanese semiconductors? Actually helped U.S. chipmakers. But blanket tariffs? Too blunt. They trigger too much collateral damage.

What alternatives existed?

  • Targeted sanctions: Like on specific Chinese tech firms
  • Alliance pressure: Uniting with Europe against China
  • WTO cases: Though Trump hated waiting

The Legacy: What Actually Changed?

Forget politics. On the ground:

Supply chains shifted: Vietnam and Mexico won big. My import/export friend Maria saw her Mexico shipments double.

China policy hardened: Biden kept most tariffs! That tells you something.

New normal: Tariffs became standard tools again after 40 years of free trade orthodoxy.

So why is Trump doing tariffs? It was never just one thing. Jobs, deficits, geopolitics, ego – all stirred together. Did it work? Economically messy. Politically? Effective theater.

Still confused about why Trump did tariffs? Honestly, most policy experts are too. It's that layered.

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